The Travelers Companies Stock Performance

TRV Stock  USD 288.23  2.60  0.91%   
Travelers Companies has a performance score of 6 on a scale of 0 to 100. The entity has a beta of 0.24, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Travelers Companies' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Travelers Companies is expected to be smaller as well. The Travelers Companies right now has a risk of 0.91%. Please validate Travelers Companies semi variance, and the relationship between the sortino ratio and rate of daily change , to decide if Travelers Companies will be following its existing price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Mild

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in The Travelers Companies are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly stable basic indicators, Travelers Companies is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price fuss, may contribute to near-short-term losses for the sophisticated investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
0.91
Five Day Return
1.45
Year To Date Return
1.07
Ten Year Return
169.65
All Time Return
6.4 K
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0154
Payout Ratio
0.1571
Last Split Factor
2:1
Forward Dividend Rate
4.4
Dividend Date
2026-03-31
 
Travelers Companies dividend paid on 31st of December 2025
12/31/2025
1
Earnings Preview Travelers Q4 Earnings Expected to Decline
01/14/2026
2
US Stock Market Today SP 500 Futures Drop As Growth Jitters And Yields Bite
01/20/2026
3
How The Narrative Around Travelers Companies Is Evolving With The Latest Price Target
01/22/2026
4
Citigroup Issues Positive Forecast for Travelers Companies Stock Price
01/27/2026
5
Travelers Expands Anthropic AI Use As Buybacks And Valuation Draw Focus
01/28/2026
6
Unlocking Online Freedom The Benefits of a Free VPN for Mac
01/29/2026
7
Travelers and National Trust Take Resilience Initiative to Los Angeles
01/30/2026
8
Lost Luggage is No Longer an Exception for Travelers - and its Changing How People Book Trips
02/02/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow699 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-7.7 B

Travelers Companies Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  27,517  in The Travelers Companies on November 6, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,306  from holding The Travelers Companies or generate 4.75% return on investment over 90 days. The Travelers Companies is generating 0.0801% of daily returns assuming volatility of 0.9122% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 8% of stocks are less volatile than Travelers, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Travelers Companies is expected to generate 1.04 times less return on investment than the market. In addition to that, the company is 1.21 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.09 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.11 per unit of volatility.

Travelers Companies Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Travelers Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 288.23 90 days 288.23 
about 24.46
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Travelers Companies to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 24.46 (This The Travelers Companies probability density function shows the probability of Travelers Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Travelers Companies has a beta of 0.24. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Travelers Companies average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding The Travelers Companies will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The Travelers Companies has an alpha of 0.1013, implying that it can generate a 0.1 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Travelers Companies Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Travelers Companies

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as The Travelers Companies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
287.15288.06288.97
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
256.28257.19317.05
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
302.34303.26304.17
Details
23 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
274.00301.10334.22
Details

Travelers Companies Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Travelers Companies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Travelers Companies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold The Travelers Companies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Travelers Companies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.10
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.24
σ
Overall volatility
7.46
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Travelers Companies Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Travelers Companies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for The Travelers Companies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The Travelers Companies has 9.27 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.37, which is OK given its current industry classification. The Travelers Companies has a current ratio of 0.33, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Travelers to invest in growth at high rates of return.
Over 89.0% of Travelers Companies shares are owned by institutional investors
On 31st of December 2025 Travelers Companies paid $ 1.1 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Lost Luggage is No Longer an Exception for Travelers - and its Changing How People Book Trips

Travelers Companies Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Travelers Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Travelers Companies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Travelers Companies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding227.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments6.6 B

Travelers Companies Fundamentals Growth

Travelers Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Travelers Companies, and Travelers Companies fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Travelers Stock performance.

About Travelers Companies Performance

Evaluating Travelers Companies' performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Travelers Companies has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Travelers Companies has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.05  0.05 
Return On Capital Employed 0.15  0.09 
Return On Assets 0.04  0.05 
Return On Equity 0.19  0.20 

Things to note about The Travelers Companies performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Travelers Companies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for The Travelers Companies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The Travelers Companies has 9.27 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.37, which is OK given its current industry classification. The Travelers Companies has a current ratio of 0.33, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Travelers to invest in growth at high rates of return.
Over 89.0% of Travelers Companies shares are owned by institutional investors
On 31st of December 2025 Travelers Companies paid $ 1.1 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Lost Luggage is No Longer an Exception for Travelers - and its Changing How People Book Trips
Evaluating Travelers Companies' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Travelers Companies' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Travelers Companies' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Travelers Companies' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Travelers Companies' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Travelers Companies' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Travelers Companies' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Travelers Companies' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Travelers Companies' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Travelers Companies' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Travelers Companies' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Travelers Stock Analysis

When running Travelers Companies' price analysis, check to measure Travelers Companies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Travelers Companies is operating at the current time. Most of Travelers Companies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Travelers Companies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Travelers Companies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Travelers Companies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.